Vencedor em Catalão em 2018, Bolsonaro agora perde para Lula em todos os cenários

Pesquisa aponta vantagem de quase 30 pontos no segundo turno, considerando votos válidos. Na últimas eleições, o atual presidente foi vencedor no município nos dois turnos de votação

O ex-presidente Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) lidera todos os cenários de intenção de voto em Catalão, no sul do Estado, segundo pesquisa Voga/Gazeta divulgada na quarta-feira, 29. Em cenário de voto estimulado, Lula tem 54,44% das intenções, contra 30% do atual presidente Jair Bolsonaro (PL), no primeiro turno. Considerando votos válidos, a vantagem é de 60,3% para Lula, contra 33,2% de Bolsonaro.

Em comparação com as eleições de 2018, os números mostram uma virada na cidade, que deu 50,74% dos votos para Bolsonaro no primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais daquele ano. No segundo turno, a porcentagem subiu ainda mais, chegando a 57,33% contra 42,67% de Fernando Haddad (PT). No primeiro turno, o petista conq1uistou apenas 24,14% dos votos, menos do que a metade das intenções declaradas até o momento para Lula.

No atual cenário, o terceiro candidato mais bem avaliado na pesquisa Voga/Gazeta é Ciro Gomes (PDT), com 4,22% de intenções no cenário estimulado, representando 4,6% dos votos válidos. O número é o mesmo entre eleitores que declararam que não votar em nenhum dos candidatos (4,22%), e inferior aos que não opinaram ou não souberam responder (5,56%). Na sequência, André Janones (Avante) tem 0,67%; Simone Tebet (MDB), 0,44%; e José Maria Eymael (DC), também 0,44%.

Segundo Turno

A vantagem de Lula é mantida no segundo turno, segundo a pesquisa. Os números da Voga/Gazeta apontam que o petista tem 57,11% das intenções de voto, contra 31,33% de Bolsonaro. Os outros 11,56% não quiseram ou não souberam responder. Em votos válidos, a vantagem de Lula fica ainda maior, com quase 30 pontos a frente do adversário: 64,5% para Lula, 35,4% do Bolsonaro.

Ao todo, foram 450 eleitores entrevistados. A pesquisa tem grau de confiança de 95% e margem de erro de 4,6% para mais ou para menos. A coleta dos dados foi realizada por meio de entrevistas presenciais, com eleitores a partir de 16 anos. A pesquisa está registrada no Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE), protocolizada sob o nº BR 01808/22, e no Tribunal Regional Eleitoral (TRE), sob o nº GO 00586/2022
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